History bears witness to the fact that in case of most of the revolutions, those poor and middle class people, who made these revolutions possible by their sweat and blood, were marginalized and the revolutions were highjacked by some other opportunists and power seekers.
One such ruler was the Shah of Iran who after almost four decades of authoritarian rule was forced to flee from the country and eventually met a painful death in an Egyptian hospital. The most recent example is that of Hosni Mubarak, whose shameful exit from the political scene under intense internal and external pressure is being hailed as the dawn of a new popular revolution in the Middle East, which may topple other dictatorial regimes and hereditary monarchies in the region. Even his Western backers for whom he worked wholeheartedly for three decades did not come to his rescue and commenting on the fall of his regime, President Obama called it as important as the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989.
In the early stage of this revolution, it is difficult to estimate its full scale repercussions, but in any future setup, the long suppressed opposition group Ikhwanul-Muslimin (Muslim Brotherhood) would be a major force to be reckoned with.
Meanwhile, the presence of thousands of British troops further reinforced the anti-Western sentiments among the Egyptians and by the year 1948, the Muslim Brotherhood had about half a million members, including some secret guerrillas who fought against Israel. Although Bannah’s approach was gradual, fearing his organisation to be a state within the state, the Egyptian authorities banned it and assassinated him in 1949.
In 1952, Gamal Abdel Nasser legalised the Brotherhood but banned it again in 1954. The Brotherhood retaliated by trying to assassinate him. In response, Nasser launched a major crackdown against it, killing and imprisoning a large number of its members. A senior Brotherhood writer, Sayyid Qutb, who stated that Egypt was in a state of pre-Islamic ignorance and needed to be given true Islamic knowledge, was also hanged by Nasser in 1966. This suppression brought a period of quietness for the Brotherhood. But it re-emerged in 1974, when President Sadat encouraged it in the hope of reducing the influence of his leftist opponents. But some of his reforms and his Camp David Accord with Israel infuriated some young militant members of the Egyptian army, who assassinated him in 1981, paving the way for Hosni Mubarak to come to power.
In the 1980s, Muslim Brotherhood began integrating itself into the mainstream politics, by distancing itself from the radical elements and concentrating more on grass roots organisation and working with the poorer communities. In 1984 and 1987, its members, though contesting independently or with the help of other political parties won seats in the parliament and professional syndicates. It was a positive gesture which should have been appreciated. But Mubarak, his Western allies and Israel always remained afraid and suspicious of Brotherhood’s growing popularity and blamed its members for being behind the attacks on Egyptians and foreign tourists in the early 90s. Using such attacks as a pretext, several of Brotherhood’s members were arrested and imprisoned, but such tactics only added to its popularity and its members contesting independently or with other parties, won 17 seats in the legislature in 2000.
Later, in the 2005 elections, while it was still a banned party, its members won an unprecedented victory by capturing 88 seats in the parliament. But Mubarak’s attitude remained unchanged and instead of promoting the Brotherhood’s integration into politics, by means of an allegedly rigged referendum, he reinforced the ban on religion-based political parties and arrested a large number of Brotherhood leaders and activists who were likely to win seats in the next elections. Time and again, the Brotherhood members demonstrated that they were willing to take part in the country’s political and democratic process, but Mubarak always kept them away from the corridors of power by describing them as fundamentalists or militants, only because he was afraid of their growing political strength. Quite naturally, the Brotherhood activists played a key role in the anti-Mubarak protests in Tahreer Square which culminated in his ouster from the government.
All through the years, Muslim Brotherhood has been active in other parts of North Africa, Middle East, South Asia and South-East Asia under different names. In 1982, its members were largely responsible for the uprising in the Syrian town of Amah. Hafez Al-Assad’s troops ruthlessly crushed the uprising, killing as many as 5,000 people. In Sudan in 1989, the Brotherhood actively supported the change of government and coming to power of Omar Hassan Al-Bashir. In Jordan Muslim Brotherhood has since long been attempting to gain political power by non-violent means. In that country, besides holding several seats in the parliament, it supports many medical clinics and schools.
History bears witness to the fact that in case of most of the revolutions, those poor and middle class people, who made these revolutions possible by their sweat and blood, were marginalized and the revolutions were highjacked by some other opportunists and power seekers who proved even worse than the pre-revolution rulers. It remains to be seen whether the same story will be repeated in Egypt or not. The wall of oppression and authoritarianism constructed and consolidated by Mubarak’s regime has finally been demolished. Whatever new political structure emerges in Egypt it must duly accommodate the Muslim Brotherhood, otherwise, it will remain weak and fragile like the Berlin Wall which remained at its place for almost three decades, but was razed to the ground within a few hours.
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